Right in the middle of social upheaval facing our country, the INEI announced that poverty fell 4.2% between 2005 and 2006. In addition to strikes, protests, road blockades and ministerial committees to seek the limelight in the media, the fact that poverty declined cachita can take the ordinary Peruvians who walk in the streets demonstrating ... and why not, give reason and satisfactions first APRA government. How
decreased poverty?
is important to note that these results include a change in methodology. Thus, the application of new techniques, more precise, make poverty in 2004 and not 51.6% but 48.6% and extreme poverty also "sincere" from 19.2% to 17.1%. We must consider that in 2005, also was adjusted methodology which result showed that poverty had increased since 2001 and contradicted President Toledo, this uncomfortable result caused the departure of a recognized member of the French cooperation for the topic.
However, the most striking of the new figures, without objecting to its validity, is that it appears that the trickle-down process has begun to happen. According to new calculations there was no change in total poverty between 2004 and 2005, more rose 0.1%, if this was true, what explains the slump of 4.2%?, Especially how poverty has fallen if prices have increased (as in the case of fuels)?. When many had given up, convinced that the blast did not we develop, it seems that the thing works and that the black of the national economy are consistent with an improvement of national welfare.
The technical note issued by the INEI said that "While the reduction of poverty in Sierra and Selva is mild, slightly more than one percentage point decline marks a turning point as it is accompanied by improved revenue and expenditures of those homes ... mostly in the urban part of the three natural regions. " These figures indicate that only in Lima poverty has declined 6.7%, in urban areas 5.6% and 1.6% in rural areas.
However, the demonstrations in major cities and a return to the rural poor departments show an opposite trend. In fact the new poverty data warn that the gap and the severity of rural poverty increased in the last two years. In order that there is a tipping point is necessary to analyze more than two years and see the trend, it is hasty to say that from now on poverty will fall.
information policy
The beginning of this administration was marked by a discredit to the previous administration. This strategy suggested lowering the barrier to goals proposed by Garcia. Before the recent demonstrations, the government and various means "held" and not just the good macroeconomic performance, but conditions such as full employment (or underemployment) of Ica and La Libertad, the beginning of "Sierra Exportadora", new mining concessions , etc ... implying that these "achievements" are the beginning of an era of prosperity.
Now the thing is burning, with massive discontent effectively decentralized, it seems that this data reduction of poverty, seeks to be not only "turning point" for the message of the first year of government, but also a mattress or a shield to neutralize the existing social pressure. Is it enough to know ourselves poorer yield demonstrations?.
